Saturday, December 1, 2012

Would Embracing Nostalgia Revive Passenger Rail?


Question:  Everyone these days has a soft spot for nostalgia.  Do you think if the industry designed passenger trains to resemble their steam powered predecessors (but with modern mechanicals), people could fall in love with the rails again thus increasing passenger business?

Answer:  Since this forum is primarily aimed at answering questions or addressing issues from a trainmaster’s perspective, I’m obliged to say that, as a trainmaster, I wouldn't really spend any time thinking about this issue as it doesn't have any bearing on the freight rail operations I’m responsible for.

Having said that, I believe such a concept, while certainly creative and intriguing, would have such limited and diminishing appeal that it would not be cost effective.  The huge majority of people who travel by train do so for purely practical purposes of transportation.  Only a small fraction of passenger rail travelers choose the mode for nostalgic or purely enjoyment related factors.  Even at that, the number of folks (Baby Boomers and older) who harbor romantic notions of passenger rail’s halcyon days is dwindling.  Passenger rail is a business that must attract enough ridership to sustain at least meager profitability.  Four decades of Amtrak experience (and two decades of dramatically declining ridership before that) have shown that, with a few exceptions (such as the Northeast Corridor and several routes in California), passenger rail in the US cannot operate profitably as a whole.  The US may choose to continue federal subsidies to keep long-distance passenger operations in place (I don’t see long-distance passenger operations ever being profitable), but most of the near-term investment in passenger rail is going to go to traffic corridors where trains can truly compete on a cost, convenience, and reliability standpoint with other modes (planes, cars, buses, etc.).

Thanks for posing the question.  I hope to see some other thoughts on the matter in the comments below.

Say safe out there.  Here we go!

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